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Case Studies

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AI-powered retention for fleet fuel cards

AI-powered retention for fleet fuel cards

AI-powered retention for fleet fuel cards

Predictive churn modeling and proactive retention strategy for a Fortune 50 Oil & Gas giant.

Predictive churn modeling and proactive retention strategy for a Fortune 50 Oil & Gas giant.

Significant improvement in accuracy over the existing solution

Substantial annual revenue retention

Early identification of churn signals for proactive action

Scalable across markets

The challenge

The challenge

Reducing churn among fleet fuel card users across Asia and Europe.

Reducing churn among fleet fuel card users across Asia and Europe.

A leading global energy company’s B2B Mobility team faced increasing customer attrition across seven key markets. Internal models lacked predictive accuracy and lead time, resulting in missed retention opportunities and inefficient account management.

Key challenges

  • Short action window

  • Low prediction accuracy

  • Lack of explainability – no actionable insights

  • No structured value tracking framework

The solution

Customer Genomics-powered early warning system

Customer Genomics-powered early warning system

Customer360 Platform

Customer360 platform with 400+ attributes in Databricks Feature Store

Unified internal and external data for enriched customer insights

Designed for scale and future evolution into a recommendation engine

Predictive Modeling

Created three XGBoost models for Large, Small, and Micro customer segments

Used dynamic segmentation to boost accuracy and reduce model maintenance

Predicted volume decline over the upcoming period and grouped customers by churn risk

Implementation approach

Implementation approach

1

Prioritization framework

  • Focus on high value

  • Segment by risk

  • Use sales trends

2

Explainability with SHAP

  • Portfolio-level drivers

  • Customer-level insights

  • Transparent predictions

3

Power BI dashboard

  • Holistic customer view

  • Early risk signals

  • Self-serve analytics

The impact

The impact

Transforming retention from reactive to proactive

Transforming retention from reactive to proactive

Business outcomes

  • Significant improvement in accuracy

  • Substantial cost savings

  • Positive market feedback

Strategic benefits

  • Proactive retention model

  • Scalable across geographies

  • Explainable AI insights

Adoption drivers

  • Win-rate tracking

  • Test-control validation

  • AM performance metrics

Looking ahead

Looking ahead

  • Expand models to additional markets with automated retraining

  • Integrate Next Best Product, CLTV modeling, and share-of-wallet estimation

  • Introduce Agentic AI-driven hyper-personalized insights for 1:1 customer engagement

All rights reserved © 2025 Fractal Analytics Inc.

Registered Office:

Level 7, Commerz II, International Business Park, Oberoi Garden City,Off. W. E.Highway, Goregaon (E), Mumbai City, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, 400063

CIN : U72400MH2000PLC125369

GST Number (Maharashtra) : 27AAACF4502D1Z8

All rights reserved © 2025 Fractal Analytics Inc.

Registered Office:

Level 7, Commerz II, International Business Park, Oberoi Garden City,Off. W. E.Highway, Goregaon (E), Mumbai City, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, 400063

CIN : U72400MH2000PLC125369

GST Number (Maharashtra) : 27AAACF4502D1Z8

All rights reserved © 2025 Fractal Analytics Inc.

Registered Office:

Level 7, Commerz II, International Business Park, Oberoi Garden City,Off. W. E.Highway, Goregaon (E), Mumbai City, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, 400063

CIN : U72400MH2000PLC125369

GST Number (Maharashtra) : 27AAACF4502D1Z8